💰Auto-Roll Price Discovery
How the quarterly roll price is determined — fairly, in any liquidity condition
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How the quarterly roll price is determined — fairly, in any liquidity condition
The auto-roll price determines the rate at which matured positions roll into the nearest 3-month market. It is calculated by a waterfall designed to produce a fair, manipulation-resistant price whatever the liquidity conditions:
Normal liquidity
Volume-weighted average price (VWAP) of trades in the 6-hour window before maturity
No trades in the window
Current Mark Price, adjusted for duration
No trades for 3 months
The previous roll price
First roll of a new market, no trades
The market's opening price, adjusted for duration
Trades in the 6-hour window before a market matures:
10,000
99.20
25,000
99.15
15,000
99.25
Positions roll at 99.19 (before the roll fee — see Fees).
The 6-hour window makes it expensive to hold prices at an artificial level long enough to matter.
Volume weighting means influencing the price requires real size, at real risk.
The fallbacks (Mark Price, previous roll) are themselves protected by the minimum volume threshold and the Circuit Breaker.
Fixed Maturity & Auto-Roll — the roll mechanism itself
Mark to Market — how Mark Price is computed
Genesis Value & Compound Factor — how rolls are applied without per-position gas costs
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